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UPDATED  ·  01 Nov 2026 · Refreshed automatically from the live prediction log.
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Netherlands — Eredivisie

Ajax

DDWWW
2-2

Excelsior

LDLLL

Sat, 19 Sep 2026 · Recorded final score

Match outcome probabilities

50%Ajax
24%Draw
27%Excelsior

Ajax is the most likely result at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals
65%

Model estimate

Both teams score
67%

Model estimate

Predicted score
1–1

The model’s most likely scoreline.

Most likely call
86%

Over 1.5 goals  Correct

The model’s surest call for this match, logged before kickoff.