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UPDATED  ·  15 Sep 2026 · Refreshed automatically from the live prediction log.
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USA — MLS

Austin

DWDDW
1-1

Philadelphia Union

DWWWW

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 · Recorded final score

Match outcome probabilities

36%Austin
27%Draw
38%Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union is the most likely result at 38%.

Over 2.5 goals
64%

Model estimate

Both teams score
66%

Model estimate

Most likely call
85%

Over 1.5 goals  Correct

The model’s surest call for this match, logged before kickoff.