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UPDATED  ·  15 Sep 2026 · Refreshed automatically from the live prediction log.
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England — Championship

Burnley

LDLDL
vs

Derby

LWLLL

Sat, 19 Sep 2026 · Scheduled

Match outcome probabilities

43%Burnley
27%Draw
30%Derby

Burnley is the most likely result at 43%.

Over 2.5 goals
56%

Model estimate

Both teams score
60%

Model estimate

Predicted score
1–1

The model’s most likely scoreline.

Most likely call
80%

Over 1.5 goals

The model’s surest call for this match.