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UPDATED  ·  01 Nov 2026 · Refreshed automatically from the live prediction log.
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Uruguay — Primera División

Cerro

LWDLL
1-2

Penarol

WDLDD

Sat, 19 Sep 2026 · Recorded final score

Match outcome probabilities

25%Cerro
28%Draw
48%Penarol

Penarol is the most likely result at 48%.

Over 2.5 goals
46%

Model estimate

Both teams score
50%

Model estimate

Predicted score
1–1

The model’s most likely scoreline.

Most likely call
75%

Penarol or draw  Correct

The model’s surest call for this match, logged before kickoff.