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UPDATED  ·  06 Oct 2026 · Refreshed automatically from the live prediction log.
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Uruguay — Primera División

Penarol

WWWDW
vs

Progreso

WLWWL

Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · Scheduled

Match outcome probabilities

72%Penarol
16%Draw
12%Progreso

Penarol is the most likely result at 72%.

Over 2.5 goals
51%

Model estimate

Both teams score
46%

Model estimate

Predicted score
2–0

The model’s most likely scoreline.

Most likely call
88%

Penarol or draw

The model’s surest call for this match.