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UPDATED  ·  15 Sep 2026 · Refreshed automatically from the live prediction log.
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Spain — La Liga

Real Madrid

WWWLW
4-1

Rayo Vallecano

LDLWL

Sat, 12 Sep 2026 · Recorded final score

Match outcome probabilities

66%Real Madrid
19%Draw
15%Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid is the most likely result at 66%.

Over 2.5 goals
66%

Model estimate

Both teams score
57%

Model estimate

Most likely call
86%

Over 1.5 goals  Correct

The model’s surest call for this match, logged before kickoff.