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UPDATED  ·  15 Sep 2026 · Refreshed automatically from the live prediction log.
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Spain — La Liga

Real Madrid

WWWLW
4-1

Real Sociedad

LWDWL

Sun, 16 Aug 2026 · Recorded final score

Match outcome probabilities

72%Real Madrid
16%Draw
13%Real Sociedad

Real Madrid is the most likely result at 72%.

Over 2.5 goals
62%

Model estimate

Both teams score
58%

Model estimate

Most likely call
87%

Real Madrid or draw  Correct

The model’s surest call for this match, logged before kickoff.